Winnipeg Jets 2013-14 Player Leaders and GM Analysis

February 17, 2015 by in Jets Flight Control tags: , , , ,

The new Winnipeg Jets 2.0 established themselves as a mediocre NHL team in 2011-12, finishing 4th in their division and missing the playoffs. Being built on the Atlanta Thrashers hockey team True North acquired a team that were just one or two steps above an expansion franchise.

The 2013-14 team marks the third complete season since the Jets have returned to Winnipeg. As you will see, the team remains not much better than the old Thrashers franchise.

What follows is an analysis of the 2013-14 team and how Jets Management has been successful in building the team, with a particular focus on GM Kevin Chevaldayoff and the transactions he implemented.

Each player who played in 2013-14 is identified by how they were acquired by the Atlanta Thrashers/Winnipeg Jets which can be via a Trade deal, a Draft pick, a Free Agent signing, or a Waiver pickup. Below this table I analyze the team’s composition and the turnover of players who stay with the organization for the 2014-15 season.

 

Player Pos GP G A P +/- PIM PP SH GW OT Shots Route NS CD
1 Blake Wheeler R 82 28 41 69 4 63 8 0 4 2 225 Trade X
2 Bryan Little C 82 23 41 64 8 58 8 2 1 0 170 Draft X
3 Dustin Byfuglien R/D 78 20 36 56 -20 86 8 0 1 1 256 Trade X
4 Andrew Ladd L 78 23 31 54 8 57 4 0 2 0 189 Trade X
5 Olli Jokinen C 82 18 25 43 -8 62 2 0 1 0 171 Free Agent 1
6 Michael Frolik R 81 15 27 42 8 12 1 0 2 0 189 Trade X 1
7 Evander Kane L 63 19 22 41 -7 66 1 2 4 0 250 Draft X
8 Mark Scheifele C 63 13 21 34 9 14 1 0 2 1 100 Draft X 1
9 Toby Enstrom D 82 10 20 30 -9 56 4 0 3 0 106 Draft X
10 Jacob Trouba D 65 10 19 29 4 43 0 1 1 1 121 Draft X 1
11 Devin Setoguchi R 75 11 16 27 -7 22 2 0 3 0 129 Trade 1
12 Mark Stuart D 69 2 11 13 11 101 0 0 0 0 73 Trade X
13 Grant Clitsome D 32 2 10 12 -5 18 0 0 0 0 42 Waivers X 1
14 Zach Bogosian D 55 3 8 11 3 48 0 0 0 0 134 Draft X
15 Chris Thorburn R 55 2 9 11 0 65 0 0 1 0 26 Trade X
16 Matt Halischuk R 46 5 5 10 -3 6 0 0 1 0 56 Free Agent X 1
17 Eric O’Dell C 30 3 4 7 -2 10 0 0 1 0 17 Trade X
18 Eric Tangradi L 55 3 3 6 -6 21 0 0 0 0 52 Trade 1
19 Keaton Ellerby D 51 2 4 6 4 2 1 0 1 0 33 Waivers X 1
20 Adam Pardy D 60 0 6 6 4 38 0 0 0 0 47 Free Agent X 1
21 Anthony Peluso R 53 2 3 5 -5 65 0 0 0 0 24 Waivers X 1
22 Paul Postma D 20 1 2 3 1 8 0 0 1 0 19 Draft X
23 Zach Redmond D 10 1 2 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 10 Draft
24 Patrice Cormier C 9 0 3 3 2 7 0 0 0 0 4 Draft X
25 Jim Slater C 27 1 1 2 -5 8 0 0 0 0 24 Draft X
26 James Wright C 59 0 2 2 -3 15 0 0 0 0 41 Waivers 1
27 John Albert C 9 1 0 1 -3 0 0 0 0 0 5 Draft X
28 Carl Klingberg L 3 1 0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 3 Draft X
29 Ben Chiarot D 1 0 0 0 -3 0 0 0 0 0 0 Draft X
30 Julian Melchiori D 1 0 0 0 -1 0 0 0 0 0 0 Draft X
Player Pos. GP W L OT SA GA GAA Saves Sv% SO TOI
1 Ondrej Pavelec 57 57 22 26 7 1644 163 3.01 1481 0.901 1 3,247:58 Draft X
2 Al Montoya 28 22 13 8 3 737 59 2.30 678 0.920 2 1,540:54 Free Agent 1
3 Michael Hutchinson 3 3 2 1 0 88 5 1.64 83 0.943 0 183:02 Free Agent X 1
27 14

NS = Next Season   CD = Cheveldayoff’s Deals

In reviewing the 2013-14 scoring table, we see that the Jets regained the initial year’s success in diversified scoring. The team’s turnover increased as the team was hit with a some injuries.

Below I separate out the Jets Roster by the Player Route taken or the way the player got to be part of the Jets. We find that the Jets get most of their performance from Atlanta’s and Winnipeg’s drafts for the second time. The Free Agents and Waiver pickups as a collective under-contributed and had the worst plus/minus ratings as well. Yikes!

 

Jets Skating Lineup Efficiency (due to injuries and lineup changes)
If all 18 skaters played all 82 games there would be a 0.00% substitution rate.
The Jets had 30 skaters in its lineup which means a 66.67% substitution rate.
Team Composition by Player Route Games by Scater’s Route Goals by Scater’s Route
Draft 15 45.45% Draft 490 33.20% Draft 83 37.90%
Free Agent 5 15.15% Free Agent 188 12.74% Free Agent 23 10.50%
Trade 9 27.27% Trade 603 40.85% Trade 107 48.86%
Waivers 4 12.12% Waivers 195 13.21% Waivers 6 2.74%
Points by Scater’s Route +/- by Scater’s Route
Draft 222 37.56% Draft 2 -11.11%
Free Agent 59 9.98% Free Agent -7 38.89%
Trade 285 48.22% Trade -4 22.22%
Waivers 25 4.23% Waivers -9 50.00%
# of players who played for the Winnipeg Jets or St. John IceCaps the Next Season (NS): 27
81.82% of 30 players compared to 70.00% of 30 players in 2012-13.
# of players who left the Next Season (NS): 6 (2 Free Agents, 2 Trades, 1 Draft, 1 Waiver)
18.18% of 33 players compared to 30.00% of 30 players in 2012-13.

 

Now how well did Cheveldayoff do as far as his contributions to the team? Using the above numbers, I separated out those players that he directly had a hand in bringing to the Jets either via Draft, Free Agency, Trade, or Waiver pickup. You can see his 2013-14 transactions here.

Cheveldayoff’s Deals
Team Composition by Player Route Games by Scater’s Route Goals by Scater’s Route
Draft 2 5.26% Draft 128 8.67% Draft 23 10.50%
Free Agent 5 13.16% Free Agent 213 14.43% Free Agent 23 10.50%
Trade 3 7.89% Trade 211 14.30% Trade 29 13.24%
Waivers 4 10.53% Waivers 195 13.21% Waivers 6 2.74%
Total 14 36.84% Total 747 50.61% Total 81 36.99%
Points by Scater’s Route +/- by Scater’s Route
Draft 63 10.66% Draft 13 -72.22%
Free Agent 59 9.98% Free Agent -7 38.89%
Trade 75 12.69% Trade -5 27.78%
Waivers 25 4.23% Waivers -9 50.00%
Total 222 37.56% Total -8 44.44%
# of Cheveldayoff players acquired but did not stay with the team after 2012-13: 6
This is 100.00% of the 6 total players who left.

Cheveldayoff’s players impact was essentially the same as the initial 2011-12 season. Last season, his players made up 31.58% of the team and this season it goes up to 36.84%. We see these players making equivalent contributions to Goals and Points and finally start to see an improvement in the Goals Differential (+/-) capturing only 44.44% (vs 62.50% the previous season) of the total minuses.

Cheveldayoff’s impact as a GM after three years is starting to get slightly better. It is still too premature to fully judge since only two of his drafted players have made the team but based on their positive Goals Differential, they are having a positive impact. His Free Agent deals and Trades have been overall awful, resulting in under-performance and defensive liability.  Hopefully drafts and farm players will be able to replace those net negative impact players in the next year.

Did you know?

The 2013-14 Winnipeg Jets are now Cheveldayoff’s team as this year marks the first time that over 50% of the games played are by players he acquired. The other half of team is still a carryover from the 2010-11 Atlanta Thrashers.

The Jets finished their season standing with a record of 37-35-10 from 24-21-3 the previous year. This is the exact same record as their initial 2011-12 season, so the team continues to struggle with taking steps forward to play more competitive and winning hockey.

About The Author:

Chris Billows is a knowledge seeker, a libertarian who believes in social responsibility, a health care bureaucrat, and a business dabbler. The Journals of Doc Surge is his personal blog. Doc Surge (a cool synonym for Billows) is inspired by Doc Brass from the Planetary Comic series who in turn was inspired by the 1930s pulp hero Doc Savage.

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