Journals of Doc Surge

Aug 31

The Magic of Space Science

August 31, 2016 by Chris Billows in Think (Speculation) 0 comments tags: Human Condition, Quotations

Fascinating news this week. We have intercepted an alien signal and the speculation is that it is so strong and intentional it is thought to come from a civilization that is more advanced than our own. https://observer.com/2016/08/not-a-drill-seti-is-investigating-a-possible-extraterrestrial-signal-from-deep-space/ “The signal’s strength indicates that if it in fact came from a isotropic beacon, the power source would have to be built by a Kardashev Type II civilization. (The Kardashev scale is used to determine the progress of a civilization’s technological development by measuring how much energy was used to transmit an interstellar message.) An ‘Isotropic’ beacon means a communication source emitting a signal with equal power in all directions while promoting signal strength throughout travel.” The news is remarkable, but just as remarkable is that somebody has created a civilization scale that borders on the absolute fantastic. The Kardashev Scale says that we are possibly receiving the signal from a civilization that has encased its sun with some kind of material so that no energy escapes the solar system! That is so amazing it sounds like magic, but what is just as astounding is that this level of civilization is only two of possibly five levels of advancement. …and I thought that […]

Jul 09

Winnipeg Jets & Farm Team Collective Performance 2011-2016

July 09, 2016 by Chris Billows in Think (Hockey) 0 comments tags: Atlanta Thrashers Relocation, Jets Improvement, Minor League Stats

The professional hockey world shifted a bit when Atlanta Thrashers relocated to become the Winnipeg Jets in May 2011. Not only did the NHL get affected, but so did the pro minor league affiliations. Atlanta had existing affiliations with the Chicago Wolves of the AHL and the Gwinnett Glaidiators of the ECHL but because Winnipeg was already operating an AHL franchise, a new affiliation hierarchy had to be formed. The Manitoba Moose franchise was moved to St. John’s (made up of prospects from the Chicago Wolves) and a new ECHL team, the Colorado Eagles was chosen as the ECHL affiliate. The purpose of this post is to track how the three levels of professional hockey affiliation have risen and fallen along side each other to see if there is any pattern. It tracks the 2011 to 2016 seasons. Note that the Winnipeg Jets owned the St-John’s IceCaps and then moved it to Winnipeg as the Manitoba Moose in 2015-16. The AHL team essentially has some continuity (Chicago Wolves to IceCaps to Wolves) while the various ECHL teams do not. So what pattern do we see looking at these three levels? At the ECHL level of the affiliation, the […]

Jun 25

Atlanta Thrashers Prospects Evaluation 1999 to 2016

June 25, 2016 by Chris Billows in Think (Hockey) 1 comments tags: Jets Draft, Jets Improvement, Minor League Stats

The 2016 NHL Entry Draft is underway and the Winnipeg Jets are adding to their cupboard of future hockey players. This is the sixth draft for the franchise since moving to Winnipeg. When it moved from Atlanta in 2011, the Winnipeg Jets inherited an empty cupboard of players and prospects. We just need to see the Winnipeg Jets records of marginal competitiveness for proof. The Winnipeg Jets essentially had to start restocking their prospects cupboard. Drafting and developing is the single best way for a sports franchise to build success yet you will see in the year-by-year breakdown below that the Thrashers did a very poor job of drafting good players and then did a poor job of developing them. How did I track this? By tracking each Thrasher draft prospect according to a very simple, transparent statistic called ProGames (ProGms). ProGames counts the number of NHL and AHL games that a drafted player accumulates for their new team. NHL games played count as 1.0 ProGms while AHL games played count as 0.5 ProGms, and these are accumulated across both Regular Season and Playoff Games. So a drafted player who plays 20 NHL and 10 AHL games for his new […]

Jun 24

Winnipeg Jets Prospects Evaluation 2011 to 2016

June 24, 2016 by Chris Billows in Think (Hockey) 0 comments tags: Jets Draft, Jets Improvement, Minor League Stats

In the anticipation of the 2016 NHL Entry Draft, I am updating my evaluation on the cumulative draft and develop progress of the Winnipeg Jets. Drafting is the single best way for a sports franchise to build success so its not surprising that Winnipeg Jets Management has made draft and develop its central strategy. This post (and the one that preceded it) will break down how the Jets have done with their 2011 to 2015 draft picks up to the end of 2015-16 season (which is why this evaluation goes from 2011 to 2016). I have created a table that tracks each draft prospect taken by the Jets according to a very simple, transparent statistic called ProGames (ProGms). ProGames counts the number of NHL and AHL games that a drafted player accumulates for their new team. NHL games played count as 1.0 ProGms while AHL games played count as 0.5 ProGms, and these are accumulated across both Regular Season and Playoff Games. So a drafted player who plays 20 NHL and 10 AHL games for his new team will accumulate 25 ProGms for his team. While the goal of the draft is to have each draftee become an NHL player […]

Jun 01

Jets/Thrashers Historical Draft Infographic

June 01, 2016 by Chris Billows in Think (Hockey) 0 comments tags: Jets Draft

In anticipation of the 2016 Draft, here is an infographic I found (no source is listed) that summarizes the Atlanta Thrashers 12 seasons and 1 Winnipeg Jets season.

May 31

Winnipeg Jets Player Transactions 2014-15

May 31, 2016 by Chris Billows in Think (Hockey) 0 comments tags: GM Tasks, Jets Free Agents, Jets Re-Signed, Jets Trades, Jets Waivers

The 2014-15 season was the fourth season of the Winnipeg Jets since the Atlanta Thrashers were purchased and moved to Winnipeg. On July 1, 2014 Cheveldayoff started his fourth year of building the franchise when the Free Agent season opened. Cheveldayoff had a successful career as a hockey executive. As an Assistant GM He won a Stanley Cup with the Blackhawks in 2009-10. As a GM he also won two Calder Cups in the AHL in 2001-02 and 2007-08 and two Turner Cups in the IHL in 1997-98 and 1999-2000. So far the team he has built for Winnipeg remains consistently mediocre. There are four kinds of transactions that any General Manager can perform. They can 1) trade players, 2) re-sign existing players, 3) hire new players as free agents, and 4) claim unwanted players off waivers. The transaction season follows a July 1 to June 30 calendar. What follows is the transactions that Cheveldayoff performed in 2014-15. You will see that the ordinal value of each category is a continuation of what occurred from the previous season in 2013-14.

May 30

Winnipeg Jets Player Transactions 2013-14

May 30, 2016 by Chris Billows in Think (Hockey) 0 comments tags: GM Tasks, Jets Free Agents, Jets Re-Signed, Jets Trades, Jets Waivers

The 2013-14 season was the third season of the Winnipeg Jets since the Atlanta Thrashers were purchased and moved to Winnipeg. On July 1, 2013 Cheveldayoff started his third year of building the franchise when the Free Agent season opened. Cheveldayoff had a successful career as a hockey executive. As an Assistant GM He won a Stanley Cup with the Blackhawks in 2009-10. As a GM he also won two Calder Cups in the AHL in 2001-02 and 2007-08 and two Turner Cups in the IHL in 1997-98 and 1999-2000. So far the team he has built for Winnipeg remains consistently mediocre. There are four kinds of transactions that any General Manager can perform. They can 1) trade players, 2) re-sign existing players, 3) hire new players as free agents, and 4) claim unwanted players off waivers. The transaction season follows a July 1 to June 30 calendar. What follows is the transactions that Cheveldayoff performed in 2013-14. You will see that the ordinal value of each category is a continuation of what occurred from the previous season in 2012-13.

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